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CA-09 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

HARDER, JOSH DEM
Raised
$4,083,528as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$506,622
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$4,739,488
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
0.5% missed
Missed 3 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Appropriations
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
44 introduced
Cosponsored 414 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (43) · resolutions (1)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
MCBRIDE, JOHN REP
Raised
$52,178as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$19,882
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$18,738
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SHOEMAKER, JAMES H REP
Raised
$29,268as filed through Jul 8, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in California

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
15 days before Election Day
Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 15 days before Election Day
Register in person by
Available up to and including on Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.