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CA-23 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

OBERNOLTE, JAY REP
Raised
$1,455,868as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$863,371
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$1,644,222
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
2.3% missed
Missed 15 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology
  • House Committee on the Budget
  • House Committee on Energy and Commerce
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
31 introduced
Cosponsored 241 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (30) · resolutions (1)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
MATTHEWS, KAREN IND
Raised
$174,651as filed through Jun 22, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$5,050
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
HODGE, TESSA LYNN DEM
Raised
$79,499as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$10,237
Challenger
FEC record ↗
CHAKALIAN, PAUL DEM
Raised
$72,675as filed through Jan 29, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$500
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
WALLIS, CHARLES PATRICK DEM
Raised
$63,684as filed through Jun 23, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$24
Challenger
FEC record ↗
CLAIBORNE, ALEXIS L DEM
Raised
$11,843as filed through Dec 31, 2025
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$2,655
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in California

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
15 days before Election Day
Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 15 days before Election Day
Register in person by
Available up to and including on Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.