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CA-24 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

CARBAJAL, SALUD O. DEM
Raised
$1,650,355as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$571,016
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$3,383,604
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
0.8% missed
Missed 5 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Armed Services
  • House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure
  • House Committee on Agriculture
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
36 introduced
Cosponsored 591 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (33) · resolutions (3)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
SMITH, ROBERT BOB J REP
Raised
$203,264as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$47,128
Challenger
FEC record ↗
BACON, SARAH DEM
Raised
$41,865as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$5,100
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in California

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
15 days before Election Day
Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 15 days before Election Day
Register in person by
Available up to and including on Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.