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FL-16 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Cook Political Report
Safe
their ratings ↗
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Likely R
as of Aug 26 ↗
Inside Elections
Safe
their ratings ↗
GRUTERS, SYDNEY REP
Raised
$971,068as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$96,500
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$838,262
Challenger
FEC record ↗
BUCHANAN, VERNON REP
Raised
$929,859as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$589,010
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$995,723
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
9.2% missed
Missed 60 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Ways and Means
  • Joint Committee on Taxation
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
46 introduced
Cosponsored 222 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (46)
KIRSCHNER, KELLY DEM
Raised
$223,280as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$166,281
Challenger
FEC record ↗
LYLES, TAMIKA DEM
Raised
$121,150as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$81,206
Challenger
FEC record ↗
HARRIS, JONATHAN DEM
Raised
$80,797as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$31,755
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SPEIR, JASON EDWARD REP
Raised
$42,475as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$18,469
Challenger
FEC record ↗
DAVIS, MARK NPA
Raised
$41,739as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$691
Challenger
FEC record ↗
PEARSON, GLENN KEITH MR DEM
Raised
$41,376as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$200
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$8,778
Challenger
FEC record ↗
POPE, EDWARD PETER DR. REP
Raised
$36,748as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$23,037
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SCHNEIDER, JAN DEM
Raised
—no filing on record
From individuals
—
From PACs
—
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
—
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in Florida

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
29 days before Election Day
Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 29 days before Election Day
Register in person by
29 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.