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KY-04 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

MASSIE, THOMAS H. REP
Raised
$8,837,697as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$116,842
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$810,523
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
6.1% missed
Missed 40 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure
  • House Committee on the Judiciary
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
29 introduced
Cosponsored 92 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (24) · resolutions (5)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
GALLREIN, ED REP
Raised
$3,567,324as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$56,130
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$179,309
Challenger
FEC record ↗
WELLS, ROBERT STACY DR REP
Raised
$113,241as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$19,139
Challenger
FEC record ↗
STRANGE, MELISSA CLAIRE DEM
Raised
$94,464as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$11,145
Challenger
FEC record ↗
TODD, JEREMY RYAN LIB
Raised
$22,393as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$5,921
Challenger
FEC record ↗
BREWER, JESSE RUSSELL MR. DEM
Raised
$9,681as filed through Apr 29, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$420
Challenger
FEC record ↗
DEAN, MONICA DEM
Raised
$9,190as filed through Jun 30, 2025
From individuals
—
From PACs
$1,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$3,671
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in Kentucky

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
29 days before Election Day
Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 29 days before Election Day
Register in person by
29 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.