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KY-05 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

ROGERS, HAROLD DALLAS REP
Raised
$849,758as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$314,150
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$874,716
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
1.8% missed
Missed 12 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Appropriations
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
5 introduced
Cosponsored 78 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (3) · resolutions (2)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
PILLERSDORF, NED DEM
Raised
$182,256as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$250
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$91,275
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SMITH, KEVIN REP
Raised
$139,937as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$6,249
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in Kentucky

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
29 days before Election Day
Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 29 days before Election Day
Register in person by
29 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.