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MO-04 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

ALFORD, MARK REP
Raised
$1,394,468as filed through Jul 15, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$567,061
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$747,401
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
1.7% missed
Missed 11 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Small Business
  • House Committee on Appropriations
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
28 introduced
Cosponsored 190 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (21) · resolutions (7)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
GRAY, HARTZELL DEM
Raised
$250,118as filed through Jul 15, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$1,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$44,969
Challenger
FEC record ↗
HERRERA, JORDAN DEM
Raised
$39,762as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$3,125
Challenger
FEC record ↗
PROVINCE, DANNY PAUL MR. DEM
Raised
$25,150as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$3,991
Challenger
FEC record ↗
CASS, JEANETTE DEM
Raised
$15,506as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$100
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$147
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in Missouri

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
27 days before Election Day
Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 27 days before Election Day
Register in person by
27 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.