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NY-12 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

CONWAY, GEORGE DEM
Raised
$7,086,218as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$2,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$662,431
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SCHLOSSBERG, JOHN (JACK) BOUVIER KENNE DEM
Raised
$4,046,195as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$13,500
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$426,128
Challenger
FEC record ↗
BORES, ALEXANDER DEM
Raised
$3,991,278as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$59,750
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$1,010,667
Challenger
FEC record ↗
LASHER, MICAH CHARLES DEM
Raised
$3,315,975as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$22,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$1,088,073
Challenger
FEC record ↗
PARDEE, ALAN DEM
Raised
$1,193,313as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$37,231
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SCHWALBE, NINA DEM
Raised
$686,838as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$2,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$11,295
Challenger
FEC record ↗
ELKIND, LIAM DEM
Raised
$610,497as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$143,566
Challenger
FEC record ↗
FLOYD, JAMI DEM
Raised
$605,437as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$10,040
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SHURKA, MATHEW DEM
Raised
$330,173as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
NADLER, JERROLD L DEM
Raised
$258,402as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$70,500
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$139,682
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
10.7% missed
Missed 70 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on the Judiciary
  • House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
14 introduced
Cosponsored 438 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (13) · resolutions (1)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
DUNN, LAURA L. MS. ESQ. DEM
Raised
$211,426as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$1,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$45,711
Challenger
FEC record ↗
KASKY, CAMERON DEM
Raised
$177,343as filed through Mar 31, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$3,500
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
SHINKLE, CAROLINE REP
Raised
$155,145as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$1,995
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$83,847
Challenger
FEC record ↗
DIEP, CHRISTOPHER DEM
Raised
$90,285as filed through Jul 13, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
JORDAN, AMY REP
Raised
$58,897as filed through Apr 13, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
ORTIZ, KAREN IND
Raised
$46,268as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$23,469
Challenger
FEC record ↗
NEGRON, WILNEIDA IDP
Raised
$37,685as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$18
Challenger
FEC record ↗
TIMMINS, PATRICK JOHN MR. DEM
Raised
$34,977as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$952
Challenger
FEC record ↗
ZAPPONE, MASSIMILIANO REP
Raised
$15,131as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$3,368
Challenger
FEC record ↗
BOTTCHER, ERIK DEM
Raised
$0no filing on record
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in New York

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
10 days before Election Day
Register in person by
10 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.