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NY-21 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

CONSTANTINO, ANTHONY THOMAS REP
Raised
$12,060,254as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$7,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$3,036,386
Challenger
FEC record ↗
GENDEBIEN, BLAKE DEM
Raised
$5,461,528as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$60,400
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$2,622,585
Challenger
FEC record ↗
STEFANIK, ELISE M. REP
Raised
$5,000,243as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$289,593
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$10,827,384
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
16.5% missed
Missed 108 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence
  • House Committee on Education and Workforce
  • House Committee on Armed Services
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
29 introduced
Cosponsored 239 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (28) · resolutions (1)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
SMULLEN, ROBERT REP
Raised
$1,347,403as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$73,550
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$191,802
Challenger
FEC record ↗
HEWITT, DYLAN DEM
Raised
$351,852as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$250
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$41,700
Challenger
FEC record ↗
AMORIELL, STUART JAMESON DEM
Raised
$137,556as filed through Jun 3, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$7,474
Challenger
FEC record ↗
COLLINS, PAULA DEM
Raised
$13,513as filed through May 20, 2025
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$94,658
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in New York

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register online by
10 days before Election Day
Register in person by
10 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.