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TX-02 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

CRENSHAW, DANIEL REP
Raised
$2,735,888as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$638,410
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$24,925
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
9.8% missed
Missed 64 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence
  • House Committee on Energy and Commerce
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
24 introduced
Cosponsored 277 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (23) · resolutions (1)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
FINNIE, SHAUN DEM
Raised
$2,729,677as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$1,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$1,469,201
Challenger
FEC record ↗
TOTH, STEVE REP
Raised
$824,450as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$67,800
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$152,935
Challenger
FEC record ↗
ETWOP, MARTIN REP
Raised
$13,788as filed through Apr 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$2
Challenger
FEC record ↗
PLUMB, NICHOLAS LEE MR. REP
Raised
$9,245as filed through Mar 31, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$1,196
Challenger
FEC record ↗
ELLIS, JAMESON REP
Raised
$6,340as filed through Mar 31, 2025
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in Texas

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 30 days before Election Day
Register in person by
30 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.