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TX-06 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

ELLZEY, JOHN KEVIN SR. REP
Raised
$4,660,385as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$743,635
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$2,483,402
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
1.5% missed
Missed 10 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Small Business
  • House Committee on Appropriations
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
4 introduced
Cosponsored 193 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (2) · resolutions (2)
Resolutions — commemorations and expressions of support, not law
STAHL, BRIAN REP
Raised
$189,021as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$5,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$30,205
Challenger
FEC record ↗
MINTON, DANNY DEM
Raised
$44,283as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$13,638
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in Texas

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 30 days before Election Day
Register in person by
30 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.