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TX-09 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

MEALER, ALEXANDRA REP
Raised
$2,080,514as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$259,300
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$362,040
VIRTS, TERRY DEM
Raised
$665,423as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$5,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$2,903
CAIN, BRISCOE ROWELL III REP
Raised
$621,309as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$52,337
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$25,422
MIMS, DAN REP
Raised
$425,385as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$2,426
STOCKMAN, STEVE REP
Raised
$251,777as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$43,780
IVEY, R. TODD DR. DEM
Raised
$192,630as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$16,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
BLANCO, JAIMY REP
Raised
$121,906as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$12,840
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
SARMIENTO, CRYSTAL REP
Raised
$79,458as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$1,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$7,875
BUFORD, JAMES DEM
Raised
$72,951as filed through Apr 1, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
GUTIERREZ, LETICIA DEM
Raised
$55,358as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$18,658
STOVALL, DWAYNE BRADLEY REP
Raised
$27,696as filed through Apr 14, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
MORALES, ROY IND
Raised
$6,008as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$320
THAIN, TERRY LEE MR REP
Raised
$5,250as filed through Dec 31, 2025
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$1,859

Voting in Texas

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 30 days before Election Day
Register in person by
30 days before Election Day
Check your registration ↗State election office ↗

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.