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TX-31 — U.S. House

How competitive is this race?

Three independent forecasters rate every race from Safe to Toss-up. This is their judgment, not ours, and not a poll. Where they disagree, that disagreement is the information.

Rated Safe for the party that holds the seat by all three forecasters. None of them lists it as competitive.

CARTER, JOHN R REP. REP
Raised
$1,419,042as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$482,311
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$170,827
In office · 119th Congress
Roll-call votes
2.0% missed
Missed 13 of 655 roll-call votes while a member, through Sep 3, 2026.
voteview record ↗
Committee seats
  • House Committee on Appropriations
committee roster ↗
Bills this Congress
4 introduced
Cosponsored 102 others. Introducing is authorship; cosponsoring is signing on.
congress.gov ↗
Bills introduced (4)
SHLOMI, OFFER VINCE REP
Raised
$333,790as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$96
Challenger
FEC record ↗
WHITLOW, STUART NORMAN MR. DEM
Raised
$203,979as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
HAMDEN, RAYMOND H II REP
Raised
$145,682as filed through Mar 31, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$1,927
Challenger
FEC record ↗
EARLY, JUSTIN DEM
Raised
$123,522as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$7,000
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$17,400
Challenger
FEC record ↗
GOMEZ NORIEGA, VALENTINA REP
Raised
$122,957as filed through Mar 31, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$28,657
Challenger
FEC record ↗
STOKER, GREGORY JAMES GRE
Raised
$78,678as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$12,398
Challenger
FEC record ↗
GARAPATI, ABHIRAM REP
Raised
$55,000as filed through Dec 31, 2025
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$39,000
Challenger
FEC record ↗
DOWELL, STEVEN CLAY JR REP
Raised
$50,599as filed through Jun 30, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$190
Challenger
FEC record ↗
BERRY, DAVID LEE DR. REP
Raised
$36,800as filed through Feb 11, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$0
Challenger
FEC record ↗
LOSSA, ELVIS ARTURO REP
Raised
$11,383as filed through Feb 11, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
$3,857
Challenger
FEC record ↗
ABEL, WILLIAM P REP
Raised
$7,671as filed through Jun 9, 2026
From individuals
—
From PACs
$0
Self-funded
—
Cash on hand
-$120
Challenger
FEC record ↗

Voting in Texas

Election Day is Tue, November 3. Deadlines below are the state’s standing rules, not yet checked against this year’s official calendar — confirm at the link before you rely on them.

Register by mail (postmark)
Must be postmarked 30 days before Election Day
Register in person by
30 days before Election Day

This list is who filed with the FEC and raised money — it is not a certified ballot. The FEC has no ballot-access data; that sits with each state. Candidates who lost a primary can still appear here until a state ballot feed is added. Ordering is by money raised, which is a fact about filings, not a judgment about who is likely to win.